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Food inflation edges to 19.59% as Nigeria’s headline rate drops to 14.63%

Nigeria’s food inflation rate in September 2026 stood at 19.59 percent, marking a slight increase from 19.57 percent recorded in

Aggregated · originally by BusinessDay
18 Oct 2026, 19:57 WAT · 3 min read
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Food inflation edges to 19.59% as Nigeria’s headline rate drops to 14.63%

Nigeria's inflation figures, released monthly by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), remain one of the most closely watched economic indicators in the country, shaping decisions on interest rates by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), wage negotiations, and household budgeting. Headline inflation measures the overall change in prices across a basket of goods and services, while food inflation tracks price movements for items such as grains, tubers, meat and vegetables that make up the bulk of spending for most Nigerian households, particularly low-income earners.

The latest NBS data for September 2026 shows a mixed picture: headline inflation eased to 14.63 percent from 15.39 percent in August, even as food inflation ticked up slightly to 19.59 percent from 19.57 percent. BusinessDay's report centres on the marginal rise in food prices despite the broader disinflation trend, while Vanguard highlights the drop in the headline rate alongside a cautionary note that core inflation — which excludes volatile food and energy prices — continues to climb. Neither report details the specific drivers behind the food price uptick or the extent of the rise in core inflation, leaving open questions about which sectors are pushing costs higher even as the overall rate moderates.