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IMF outlook to test resilience of global economic growth

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is set to release its latest World Economic Outlook (WEO) on Tuesday, October 13, in

Aggregated · originally by BusinessDay
13 Oct 2026, 10:10 WAT · 3 min read
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IMF outlook to test resilience of global economic growth

The International Monetary Fund's World Economic Outlook is one of the most closely watched benchmarks for assessing the health of the global economy, issued twice yearly and feeding into policy decisions by governments, central banks and investors worldwide, including in Nigeria where IMF growth and inflation projections often shape budget assumptions and debate over fiscal policy. The latest edition lands at a time when the world economy has had to absorb shocks ranging from trade tensions and tariff disputes to persistent inflation pressures and high debt burdens in several economies, making the Fund's read on resilience significant for policymakers gauging how much room they have left to manoeuvre.

Coverage of the report converges on the Fund's headline projection of 3.1 percent global growth in 2026 and its warning that resilience is becoming "uneven" with "rapidly narrowing margins of adjustment." What hasn't yet been detailed across the reports is how individual regions or major economies — including Nigeria and the broader sub-Saharan African bloc — are expected to perform, nor the specific risks the IMF flags as most likely to strain that resilience further.